Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.168520 0.193461 0.221955 0.257163 0.299835 0.350317 0.415208
2025-04-13 0.127326 0.158345 0.197718 0.252366 0.327899 0.431200 0.587924
2025-04-20 0.105781 0.139477 0.185752 0.256089 0.364369 0.532302 0.829430
2025-04-27 0.092132 0.127171 0.178405 0.262339 0.404083 0.650292 1.155174
2025-05-04 0.082032 0.117520 0.172160 0.267550 0.442280 0.779033 1.576288
2025-05-11 0.074624 0.110391 0.168002 0.274473 0.484705 0.932494 2.160091
2025-05-18 0.068030 0.103376 0.162529 0.277374 0.519825 1.086304 2.879747
2025-05-25 0.062381 0.097029 0.156984 0.278627 0.551649 1.248096 3.796588
2025-06-01 0.057244 0.090831 0.150653 0.276801 0.575934 1.403741 4.896300
2025-06-08 0.052533 0.084786 0.143674 0.272109 0.591942 1.545790 6.167040
2025-06-15 0.049888 0.082105 0.142644 0.280008 0.642778 1.829871 8.735367
2025-06-22 0.046164 0.077026 0.136206 0.274352 0.655198 1.991848 11.002441
2025-06-29 0.043667 0.074055 0.133755 0.277976 0.697169 2.305348 15.555467
2025-07-06 0.040780 0.070058 0.128704 0.274367 0.716651 2.547159 20.685443
2025-07-13 0.038877 0.067791 0.127024 0.279020 0.765279 2.975711 31.047771
2025-07-20 0.037336 0.066084 0.126327 0.286153 0.826122 3.543649 50.086673
2025-07-27 0.035835 0.064307 0.125236 0.292025 0.885777 4.193381 83.512680
2025-08-03 0.034576 0.062906 0.124821 0.299784 0.957372 5.045625 154.034092
2025-08-10 0.033143 0.061002 0.122992 0.303036 1.012791 5.892201 284.364560
2025-08-17 0.031722 0.059002 0.120696 0.304441 1.061740 6.800913 554.961015
2025-08-24 0.030233 0.056733 0.117495 0.302397 1.094564 7.649779 1101.806730
2025-08-31 0.028703 0.054257 0.113524 0.297144 1.110068 8.374857 2197.891976
2025-09-07 0.027967 0.053483 0.113756 0.305988 1.204159 10.358428 10917.068364